Champions League Playoffs: Real Madrid, PSG, and More - Who Will Advance? (2026)

The Champions League playoff stage is set to ignite with thrilling matchups, but which teams will advance? Mark Ogden, ESPN's senior soccer writer, predicts the outcomes in this highly anticipated round.

Real Madrid's Rocky Road to Redemption:

Real Madrid's quest for Champions League glory takes a dramatic turn as they face a familiar foe, Benfica, in the playoffs. The Spanish giants, led by coach Alvaro Arbeloa, must overcome a recent 4-2 defeat at the hands of Benfica, which denied them a top-eight finish in the league phase. This playoff tie is more than just a chance for redemption; it's a battle against history. Real Madrid has only met Benfica four times in competitive action, and the Portuguese club holds a 3-1 head-to-head lead. But with key players suspended, can Real Madrid defy the odds and defeat their former coach, Jose Mourinho, now at the helm of Benfica?

Controversial Predictions:

  • Silver Path:
    • Atalanta vs. Borussia Dortmund: Atalanta, despite a strong showing, narrowly missed the top eight due to late losses. With transfer rumors surrounding key player Ademola Lookman, their chances against Dortmund are uncertain. Dortmund, also struggling with consistency, are slight favorites, but both teams may struggle to advance further.
    • Benfica vs. Real Madrid: This tie is a must-watch. Real Madrid, seeking revenge, faces a Benfica side led by their former coach. Mourinho's presence adds spice to the encounter. Despite Real's suspensions, they are predicted to edge out Benfica.
    • AS Monaco vs. Paris Saint-Germain: PSG, last season's champions, should be confident against Monaco, who beat them last November. With key players returning, PSG is expected to advance, but Monaco won't go down without a fight.
  • Blue Path:
    • Club Brugge vs. Atlético Madrid: Brugge, the overachievers, take on Atletico, who have underperformed. This tie could be a turning point for either side, but Brugge's recent form gives them the edge.
    • FK Qarabag vs. Newcastle United: Qarabag, the first Azerbaijani team in the knockout stages, faces a challenging trip to Newcastle. Despite Qarabag's impressive home record, including a draw with Chelsea, Newcastle's experience and domestic congestion may prove decisive.
    • Bodo/Glimt vs. Inter Milan: Norwegian side Bodo, fresh from stunning wins over Manchester City and Atletico Madrid, awaits Inter. Inter, with their experienced squad, are favorites, but Bodo's artificial pitch and Arctic Circle location could be game-changers.
    • Bayer Leverkusen vs. Olympiacos: Leverkusen, in transition, faces a dangerous Olympiacos, who triumphed in the 2024 Europa Conference League. This tie is a toss-up, with penalties a real possibility.

These predictions spark debate: Are the favorites truly invincible? Can underdogs rise to the occasion? As the Champions League playoff stage unfolds, fans eagerly await the outcomes, knowing that the beautiful game always has surprises in store.

Champions League Playoffs: Real Madrid, PSG, and More - Who Will Advance? (2026)
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